The deployment of a global network: A majority of respondents agreed with a scenario that argued that a global network will be thriving in 2020 and will be available to most people around the world at low cost. They argued, though, that this will only be accomplished through a great deal of innovation, investment, and collaboration among technologists, policy makers, and businesses. A majority of respondents have optimistic views about the continued spread and adoption of the network. They agreed that a “flattening” of the world will open up opportunities for success for many people who will compete globally. Still, the members of a vocal and sizeable minority of respondents said they are unsure that the policy climate will be favorable for such Internet expansion. The center of the resistance, they said, will be in the businesses anxious to preserve their current advantages and in policy circles where control over information and communication is a central value. In addition, a contingent of respondents predicted significant barriers to the development of a “flattening” world, most noting that social inequities will persist.
Human control over technology: Most respondents said they think humans will remain in charge of technology between now and 2020 even as advances continue. Some do fear, however, that technological progress will eventually lead to machines and processes that move beyond human control, in part because human oversight of some technology functions is waning. Others said they fear that the leaders who exercise control of the technology might use this power inappropriately.
Transparency versus privacy: There is a widespread expectation that people will wittingly or unwittingly disclose more about themselves, gaining some benefits in the process of losing their privacy to varying degrees, as governments and corporations escalate the collection and analysis of personal data.
