Belief-based Energy Technology Development in the United States: A Comparative Study of Nuclear Power and Synthetic Fuel Policies
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List of Figures

Figure 1. War and peace dichotomy.

24

Figure 2. Orders and cancellations of nuclear reactors in the United States.

43

Figure 3. Major synfuel events in relation to U.S. gasoline price.

45

Figure 4. Long-term oil price forecast in 1980 vs. reality.

54

Figure 5. The American way of life.

76

Figure 6. Soviet booklet on first civilian nuclear power plant.

95

Figure 7. Wonderful future with atomic energy.

115

Figure 8. Projections of nuclear power dominance vs. reality.

118

Figure 9. Energy in the world of the future.

119

Figure 10. Power for progress.

119

Figure 11. Comparison of atomic age, coal age, and petroleum age in news.

122

Figure 12. Share of primary energy sources in the United States.

123

Figure 13. Share of electric power sources in the United States.

124

Figure 14. The future of energy is nuclear.

127

Figure 15. Comparison of synthetic fuel and nuclear power in news.

132

Figure 16. Projections of nuclear capacity growth vs. reality.

161

Figure 17. Logo of Great Plains Synfuels.

167

Figure 18. Modernist imagination of exponential growth of electricity vs. reality.

178

Figure 19. Triangle of technical progress.

202

Figure 20. Assumed (hypothetical) economy of scale in nuclear power.

206

Figure 21. Nuclear power unit cost vs. scale in reality.

206

Figure 22. Recent oil price forecasting fallacy.

208