Belief-based Energy Technology Development in the United States: A Comparative Study of Nuclear Power and Synthetic Fuel Policies
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Table of Contents

List of Figures

ix

List of Tables

xi

Acknowledgments

xiii

Introduction

1

Overarching Question

4

Belief-Based Decision Making

8

Organization of the Chapters

13

Chapter 1: Two Stories

17

The Nuclear Power Story

17

The Synthetic Fuels Story

44

Chronology

64

Chapter 2: The State and Its Ideology

69

National Security State in the Cold War

70

Welfare State in the Energy Crisis

99

Chapter 3: Symbols in Social Dramas

109

Shippingport

111

The War and Peace Dichotomy

116

The Atomic Age as Metaphor and Myth

121

Nuclear Power as a Symbol For Progress

128

The Oil Crisis and “There Is No Alternative”

130

Synthetic Fuels as a Dramaturgical Failure

131

Chapter 4: The Bandwagon Market

135

Forecaster's Dilemma

136

Forging Consensus

137

The Nuclear Power Bandwagon Market (1964–1975)

138

The Stillborn Synfuel Bandwagon

166

Chapter 5: The Revolt Against Modernity

173

The Modernist View of Progress

174

Elitism Versus Egalitarianism

181

Growth Versus No-Growth

183

Hard Versus Soft Energy Paths

186

Technical Fix Versus Lifestyle Change

188

Rationality Versus Emotion

190

Factional Melodrama

191

Social Change or Not?

192

Chapter 6: Conclusion and Policy Implications

195

Lessons on R&D Strategy

201

Challenge of Political Strategy

205

Lessons on Energy Strategy

207

Notes

213

Bibliography

233

Index

253